TENSIONS RISING IN CAIRO

There is a grave prospect that Egypt will descend into a bloody civil war and insurrection following the overthrow of President Mohammed Morsi. The situation in Egypt is fast moving but another significant step has occurred with the military being accused of killing 51 protestors on Sunday. The fatalities include women and children, as well as hundreds of others injured.

The army said it opened fire after a group it described as ‘terrorists’ tried to storm a barracks on the outskirts of Cairo, where the deposed Egyptian president is believed to be detained under house arrest in the Officers Mess.

Television footage beamed across the world did identify a number of hooded men in the crowd brandishing weapons and firearms, but the large number of fatalities and wounded casualties will inevitably lead to an increase in tensions in a country that is now on the brink of collapse.

To add to the already simmering tensions the political wing of the Muslim Brotherhood has called for a ‘public uprising’ to protest against last week’s military takeover. The Brotherhood is urging Egyptians to revolt against ‘those trying to steal their revolution with tanks’. Supporters of the intervention, however, claim it was necessary to prevent Mr Morsi’s Freedom and Justice Party, the Brotherhood’s political organisation, from mounting an Islamist takeover of the country by stealth.

If Egypt, the Arab world’s most populous nation, is to be spared the catastrophe of succumbing to a Syria-style civil war, urgent action will be required. Britain has called for ‘calm and restraint’, but the country best-placed to help is the United States. It donates at least $1.5 billion in military and humanitarian aid to Cairo each year.

Washington was supportive of Egypt’s first democratically elected government and has, understandably, been dismayed by the military’s conduct. The Obama administration, though, must now overcome its reservations and provide the support to the interim administration of Adly Mansour. Mr Mansour has the difficult task of not only changing the constitution and mandating for new elections, but for steering Egypt back to the path of democracy.