Britain, European Union, Government, Politics, Society

Theresa May’s vision for post-Brexit Britain

UNITED KINGDOM

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Prime Minister Theresa May delivers a speech on the UK leaving the European Union.

Intro: In a speech to ambassadors at London’s Lancaster House the British Prime Minister delivered a blueprint to free the UK from Brussels. The PM said that quitting will let us rediscover our role as a trading power.

EVER SINCE the UK decided to exit the European Union following last June’s referendum result, the Prime Minister, Theresa May, has continually rejected the case for keeping Britain tied to the EU single market. Mrs May has pledged instead to ‘rediscover’ our role as a “great, global, trading nation”.

The Prime Minister has said that membership of the single market “would to all intents and purposes mean not leaving the EU at all”, owing to its rules on free movement and accepting the supremacy of the European Court of Justice.

To the constant fury of Remainers, the prime minister has insisted this would not be acceptable to a British public which voted to retake control of its own destiny. She has also ruled out staying in the linked customs union on its current terms – having previously said that this would prevent us striking trade deals with the rest of the world. Mrs May insists she will look for a deal which allows goods such as car parts to move freely in and out of Britain without bureaucracy and customs checks, but without the onerous rules of the current agreement.

Speaking in the last few days to ambassadors at London’s Lancaster House the PM said her overall aim was tariff-free trade with Europe and cross-border trade that is “as frictionless as possible”.

She added: “We will pursue a bold and ambitious free trade agreement with the European Union. This agreement should allow for the freest possible trade in goods and services between Britain and the EU’s member states. It should give British companies the maximum freedom to trade with and operate within European markets – and let European businesses do the same in Britain.”

She went on: “I want us to be a truly global Britain – the best friend and neighbour to our European partners, but a country that reaches beyond the borders of Europe too. A country that goes out into the world to build relationships with old friends and new allies alike.

“I want Britain to be what we have the potential, talent and ambition to be. A great, global trading nation that is respected around the world and strong, confident and united at home. The result of the referendum was not a decision to turn inward and retreat from the world. Because Britain’s history and culture is profoundly internationalist. June the 23rd was not the moment Britain chose to step back from the world. It was the moment we chose to build a truly global Britain.”

The decision not to remain inside the existing customs union was seen as a victory for Boris Johnson, who has been fighting a Cabinet battle with Chancellor Philip Hammond.

Allies of the Foreign Secretary have also pointed to Mrs May’s declaration that Britain will no longer “contribute huge sums to the EU budget”.

Mrs May said: “There may be some specific European programmes in which we might want to participate. If so, and this will be for us to decide, it is reasonable that we should make an appropriate contribution. But the principle is clear: the days of Britain making vast contributions to the European Union every year will end.”

The issue is of huge importance to Mr Johnson and other Cabinet ministers who campaigned to leave based on no longer sending £10billion net every year to Brussels. On immigration, the PM reiterated that retaking control of our borders will be a red-line in talks with Brussels but has stopped short of spelling out the full details.

She is expected to opt for a visa system which reduces the number of low-skilled workers pouring in from the EU, while still giving ready access to the UK to students, tourists and skilled workers. Mrs May said: “We will always want immigration… but the message from the public before and during the referendum campaign was clear: Brexit must mean control of the number of people who come to Britain from Europe. And that is what we will deliver.

To ease the nerves of business, Mrs May has said she was willing to consider a period of transition when the two-year Brexit talks are complete – allowing new policies on the likes of immigration and trade to be phased in gradually. No time limit has been put on how long this would last but officials have previously said this would not be allowed to drag on for years. Mrs May told ambassadors: “I do not mean that we will seek some form of unlimited transitional status, in which we find ourselves stuck forever in some kind of permanent political purgatory. That would not be good for Britain, but nor do I believe it would be good for the EU.”

On security, the PM has stressed Britain’s “unique intelligence capabilities” in what is likely to be perceived as an implied urge to the EU to remain close to the UK. However, she has stopped short of saying defence and security co-operation would be on the negotiating table.

Mrs May has warned MPs to remain “disciplined”, by not leaking stories to the media or demanding too many details on the Government’s negotiations when they begin. My job, she said, was to get the “right deal for Britain”. That, she says, “is what I intend to do”.

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The UK Government is expected to trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty by the end of March 2017. This will start the two year negotiation process for Britain’s departure from the EU.

THE UK’S BLUEPRINT IN BEING FREED FROM BRUSSELS

Theresa May’s ambitious roadmap and objectives for Brexit:

. CERTAINTY

She said that we will provide certainty where we can. The same rules and laws will apply on the day after Brexit as they did before. And the Government will put the final deal to a vote in both Houses of Parliament.

(Can she deliver?) By keeping in place – at least initially – all EU laws, Mrs May will provide a degree of continuity and confidence for business. However, as she freely admits, she cannot control the outcome of the negotiations. Parliament is highly likely to approve any deal because the alternative will be a chaotic Brexit.

. OUR OWN LAWS

She said that we will take back control of our laws and bring an end to the jurisdiction of the European Court of Justice in Britain. Because we will not have truly left the EU if we are not in control of our own laws.

(Can she deliver?) Adopting the ‘take back control’ slogan of the Leave campaign, Mrs May repeated her promise to end rule by EU law and judges in Luxembourg, and restore power to Parliament and domestic courts. Without this there is no Brexit. A firm red line.

. A UNITED KINGDOM

She said that a stronger Britain demands that we strengthen the precious union between the four nations of the UK.

(Can she deliver?) By consulting devolved administrations, Mrs May is seeking to reassure voters in the nations of the UK which didn’t vote for Brexit that she is listening to their concerns.

. THE IRISH BORDER

Mrs May said that we will work to deliver a practical solution that allows the maintenance of the Common Travel Area with the Republic, while protecting the integrity of the United Kingdom’s immigration system.

(Can she deliver?) Both countries want to maintain the open border between Northern Ireland and the Republic without opening a back door into Britain. But that is likely to mean UK border checks at Irish ports and airports.

. CONTROL OF IMMIGRATION

The message from the public before and during the referendum campaign was clear: Brexit must mean control of the number of people who come to Britain from Europe. Mrs May says that is what we will deliver.

(Can she deliver?) Ending free movement is a red line, but Mrs May left open when it will end, what system will replace it and details of any transition deal. The PM wants highly skilled EU migrants, and doctors and nurses, but will she compromise on unskilled migrants to get a better trade deal?

. EU NATIONALS AND BRITISH EXPATS

She said that we want to guarantee the rights of EU citizens who are already living in Britain, and the rights of British nationals in other member states, as early as we can.

(Can she deliver?) Likely to be agreed early on, as long as the EU doesn’t want to haggle. Last year Mrs May offered to settle on the rights of three million EU nationals in the UK, and 1.2million Brits on the continent in advance of formal talks – but Angela Merkel refused.

. WORKERS’ RIGHTS

The PM said that not only will the Government protect the rights of workers’ set out in European legislation, but we will build on them.

(Can she deliver?) Mrs May is determined to at least preserve protections for workers on low and middle incomes – many of whom voted for Brexit. Could come under threat if there is no deal, and Britain slashes taxes and regulation to attract business.

. TRADE WITH EUROPE

As a priority, she said, we will pursue a bold and ambitious free trade agreement with the EU. This should allow for the freest possible trade in goods and services. But she was also clear that it cannot mean membership of the single market.

(Can she deliver?) This is the crux of the negotiation. Britain will leave the single market, and with it EU laws and free movement. Instead Mrs May wants tariff-free trade and a customs agreement to stop goods being held up at ports. She ruled out ‘vast contributions’ to the EU budget, and the only money going to Brussels will be for particular programmes or agencies like Europol. Her huge gamble is to threaten to walk away if the EU attempts to punish Britain.

. GLOBAL TRADE

Mrs May said that a global Britain must be free to strike trade agreements with countries from outside the EU too. But she also wants tariff-free trade with Europe and cross-border trade that is as frictionless as possible.

(Can she deliver?) The PM wants deals with non-EU countries including the United States. That would be impossible from inside the customs union, which imposes a uniform tariff on all non-EU countries. It would also make Trade Secretary Liam Fox’s job redundant.

. SCIENCE AND INNOVATION

Mrs May said that we have a proud history of leading and supporting cutting-edge research and innovation. We will also welcome agreement to continue to collaborate with our European partners on major science, research and technology initiatives.

(Can she deliver?) Unlikely to be an obstacle to any deal. Much collaboration between academics takes place outside formal EU structures, and so will continue unimpeded.

. CRIME AND TERRORISM

She said that all of us in Europe face the challenge of cross-border crime, a deadly terrorist threat, and the dangers presented by hostile states. All of us share interests and values in common, values we want to see projected around the world.

(Can she deliver?) Security and intelligence cooperation and defence cooperation cannot be a formal bargaining chip, but without making it one, Mrs May reminds EU allies of Britain’s importance as an ally in fighting terrorism and that the UK holds an important status as a military power.

. A SMOOTH EXIT

Mrs May said that it is in no one’s interests for there to be a cliff-edge for business or a threat to stability, as we change from our existing relationship to a new partnership with the European Union.

(Can she deliver?) The PM wants transitional arrangements to smooth the process of leaving the EU with specific deals on budget contributions, immigration, and trade and customs lasting different periods of time. Securing this as well as securing a final deal within two years is a huge task.

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Donald Trump, Government, Islamic State, Politics, Society, Terrorism, United States

President Trump launches a new war on terror

UNITED STATES

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President Donald Trump has vowed to wipe Islamic State from the ‘face of the Earth’ – and to link arms with old allies like Britain.

Intro: Defeating ISIS and other radical Islamic terror groups will be America’s highest priority.

The newly elected President of the United States, Donald Trump, has launched a new war on terror and has vowed to eliminate Islamic State ‘from the face of the earth’.

But his bold declaration to “eradicate completely” radical Islamic terrorism was at odds with his inauguration speech ‘America First’ inward-looking agenda.

And it is not clear how Mr Trump and his advisors plan to succeed without jeopardising international relations and running up huge costs on military operations.

While he has previously promised a more effective military campaign than that of Barack Obama, many of the actions he might take to accelerate progress in Iraq and Syria come with potentially dangerous side effects.

These include the deterioration of already strained ties with NATO ally Turkey, an increase in America or civilian casualties and reinvigorated militant recruitment.

It is extraordinary, given the tentacles of the terror group’s extended reach across Syria, Iraq, Turkey, Tunisia and Libya – as well as parts of France, Belgium, Italy – and Britain.

Sceptics were also quick to point out that several past presidents, most notably George W. Bush, had failed to keep similar promises to beat terrorism. Yet in his speech, Mr Trump threw down the gauntlet to Islamic State and its supporters around the world.

He said: ‘We will reinforce old alliances and form new ones – and unite the civilised world against Radical Islamic Terrorism, which we will eradicate completely from the face of the Earth.

‘We will be protected by the great men and women of our military and law enforcement, and, most importantly, we are protected by God.’

He has said that on taking office, he will tell his top generals they have (just) 30 days to present him with a plan for defeating IS.

Since Mr Trump’s inauguration on Friday 20 January, his administration has expanded on the plans to defeat terrorism.

A statement on the White House website said: ‘Defeating ISIS and other radical Islamic terror groups will be our highest priority. To defeat and destroy these groups, we will pursue aggressive joint and coalition military operations when necessary. In addition, the Trump Administration will work with international partners to cut off funding for terrorist groups, to expand intelligence sharing, and to engage in cyberwarfare to disrupt and disable propaganda and recruiting.

‘Next, we will rebuild the American military. Our Navy has shrunk from more than 500 ships in 1991 to 275 in 2016. Our Air Force is roughly one third smaller than in 1991.

‘President Trump is committed to reversing this trend, because he knows that our military dominance must be unquestioned. Finally, in pursuing a foreign policy based on American interests, we will embrace diplomacy. The world must know that we do not go abroad in search of enemies, that we are always happy when old enemies become friends, and when old friends become allies. The world will be more peaceful and more prosperous with a stronger and more respected America.’

He also pledged to ‘reinforce old alliances’ in a sign that Britain’s “special relationship” with the US could be boosted under his leadership. In response, Theresa May said she was certain Mr Trump intends to advance links between Britain and the US. Mrs May said: ‘I congratulate President Trump on taking office.’

‘From our conversations to date, I know we are both committed to advancing the special relationship between our two countries and working together for the prosperity and security of people on both sides of the Atlantic.’


Looking at the pledges made by President Trump during his inaugural speech on Capitol Hill on Friday, January 20, 2017:

IN-BRIEF

. Build The Wall – Mr Trump said: ‘We will bring back our borders.’ But his campaign pledge to build ‘an impenetrable, physical, tall, powerful, beautiful, southern border wall’ between the U.S. and Mexico was not mentioned.

. Guns – Keen to placate gun rights supporters, Mr Trump has promised to abolish gun-free zones around schools and military bases. ‘My first day, it gets signed – no more gun-free zones,’ he has said. He says gun-free zones are a magnet for mentally-ill gunmen.

. Bring Back Jobs – Mr Trump has pledged to rebuild America ‘with American hands’ and ‘follow two simple rules – buy American and hire American’. His promise to help jobless American workers in the country’s depressed heartland was, for many voters, his most important pledge. Critics say it will also be the trickiest as many of those manufacturing jobs appear to have moved to lower-wage countries for good. The President has vowed personally to call the bosses of major US firms who plan to move jobs overseas and warn them they face a 35 per cent tariff if they go ahead.

. Drain The Swamp – His 100-day action plan included six measures to tackle what he sees as sleaze and corruption. They include a constitutional amendment to impose terms limits on all Congress members, a hiring freeze on all federal government employees, restrictions on the creation of new regulations and a limit on the lobbying activities of White House and congressional officials after they leave office.

. Protect US Trade – He has promised to immediately renegotiate or withdraw from the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the deal that governs commerce with, among others, Mexico. He has also vowed to dash plans to take the US into the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

. Control Immigration – Decisions on immigration ‘will be made to benefit American workers and American families’, Mr Trump said, although he also added: ‘When you open your heart to patriotism, there is no room for prejudice.’ In recent weeks, he has backed away from his call for a temporary ban on Muslim visitors entering the country. Instead, he has said he plans from his first day in office to suspend immigration from ‘terror prone’ countries and impose ‘extreme vetting’ on others.

. Repeal Obamacare – Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act, reforming America’s famously complicated and expensive health insurance system, was his administration’s most radical achievement. It guarantees health coverage for all Americans but has landed many people with higher bills. Mr Trump intends to scrap it.

. Infrastructure – One of the few areas where Mr Trump is likely to get Democratic support is his pledge to spend $1trillion over the next decade on investing in America’s crumbling infrastructure. In his speech, he pledged to ‘build new roads, highways, bridges, airports, tunnels and railways’. Such huge spending will surely complicate his plans to slash taxes, especially for business, without plunging the US further into the red.

. Global Warming – Mr Trump has previously questioned the existence of global warming, describing it as a hoax dreamt up by China. Confirming the fears of many environmentalists, the White House website has already signalled President Trump’s intentions on climate change, saying he is ‘committed to eliminating harmful and unnecessary policies such as the Climate Action Plan and the Waters of the US rule’. Mr Trump has promised to tell the United Nations that the US will no longer be contributing money towards its climate change programmes.

. A New Missile Defence System – One of Mr Trump’s first moves was to announce plans for a missile defence system to protect the US against attacks from Iran and North Korea. The announcement on the White House website contained no further detail about the measures being planned. It remains unclear whether it could be a ground- or air-based system – or, more controversially, satellite-based like Ronald Reagan’s Strategic Defence Initiative, better known as ‘Star Wars’. First announced in 1983, Star Wars was intended to protect the US against Soviet aggression during the Cold War.

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Donald Trump, Government, Politics, Society, United States

Political animosity in the United States and the rapidly spiralling fear

UNITED STATES

usa

The U.S. intelligence agencies are sworn to defend America from attack.

Intro: From the outside, it must seem like a script-writer’s dream.

Salacious and unverifiable reports of Donald Trump’s private life have been circulating among US media outlets for some months. US intelligence agencies believed that many of these reports have been sufficiently credible that they chose to brief President Barack Obama and Mr Trump.

Understanding the nature of the accusations is important. The decision by US intelligence has largely been shaped by two factors. The first is the information and credence given to them by federal agencies. The second, that the man in question is the leader of one of the most powerful nations in the world, not a private citizen, and that his actions could have a direct impact on all of us.

Mr Trump has now blamed the intelligence agencies for allowing these uncorroborated reports to be leaked to the media, and has compared these actions as being like those of the Nazis in wartime Germany.

What has become a bit lost in the political storm and plethora of everything that is happening is the first admission by Mr Trump that Russia had been behind the hacking attacks on the Democratic Party during the election. Previously, the President-Elect had claimed the intelligence agencies had got these matters wrong and were directly involved in a political witchhunt against him. Sworn to defend America from attack, US intelligence agencies must be bewildered.

From the outside, it must seem like a script-writer’s dream. As the plot deepens – from what sounds much like the subterfuge within a spy novel – where should attention be focussed?

Secretary of State nominee Rex Tillerson told his Senate confirmation hearing that Russia probably was behind the cyber-attack, that it has pursued military action to further its own interests (in Syria), and that weak US leadership had allowed Russia to become dominant.

As chief executive of Exxon Mobil, the most profitable oil company in the world, Mr Tillerson previously sanctioned multibillion-dollar deals with Russia’s state oil company, Rosneft. He was duly awarded an Order of Friendship by the Kremlin.

Contrasting this against such language used by President-Elect Trump should seem more than trivial. Mr Trump denied all the allegations saying it was ‘phoney stuff’ and only ‘sick people’ could come up with ‘that crap’. He said that CNN was ‘fake news’ and described Islamic State as ‘number one tricky’.

The world would have noticed in President Obama’s farewell speech in Chicago the eloquent tribute he paid to his wife, Michelle. Mr Obama said: ‘You took on a role you didn’t ask for and you made it your own with grace and grit and style and good humour. You made the White House a place that belongs to everybody.’

We should know the difference between rhetoric that inspires optimism as against that of fear and loathing.

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