Britain, NATO, Russia, United States

US-UK relations on NATO and Russia

WASHINGTON-LONDON

trump-may-reaffirm-us-uk-special-relationship

Ties between the US and Britain have “never been stronger”, US President Donald Trump said as he welcomed British Prime Minister Theresa May to the White House.

President Donald Trump is 100 per cent behind NATO, Theresa May has declared.

Following their first talks in the White House, the Prime Minister has said that the U.S. and UK were united in their “unshakeable commitment” to the alliance, and that both leaders recognise NATO as the “bulwark of our collective defence”.

However, the pair are set for a collision course on how to handle Vladimir Putin after President Trump said he hoped to have a “fantastic relationship” with the Russian leader. The British Prime Minister said she strongly supported continuing sanctions against Russia, but Mr Trump’s newly assembled administration said the lifting of sanctions was on the table.

Earlier this month, the president caused alarm across Europe as he dismissed NATO as “obsolete” and expressed a desire for warmer ties with Mr Putin. During his election campaign Mr Trump even suggested he could withdraw the US from the military alliance if other European members did not spend more money on defence.

Mrs May has pledged to work in persuading other EU leaders to meet their NATO commitment of spending 2 per cent of national income on defence. She has said that member states need to make sure they are equipped to fight terrorism and cyber warfare, as well as combatting conventional forms of war.

But, there are clear differences between the US and UK on Russia. In comments that would have been alarming to No 10, the president said of Mr Putin: ‘I don’t know the gentleman. I hope we have a fantastic relationship. That’s possible and it’s also possible that we won’t. We will see what happens.’

President Trump, said: ‘I have had many times where I thought I would get along with people and I don’t like them at all… And I have had some where I didn’t think I was going to have much of a relationship and it turned out to be a great relationship.’

Mr Trump has also said that he hoped for a ‘great relationship’ with China.

Mrs May said the UK would not back down on Russian sanctions amid suggestions Mr Trump could agree to lift them.

The Prime Minister said: ‘As far as the UK is concerned on sanctions for Russia in relation to their activities in the Ukraine, we have been very clear that we want to see the Minsk agreement (aimed at resolving the conflict between Ukraine and pro-Russian rebels) fully implemented.

‘We believe the sanctions should continue until we see that Minsk agreement fully implemented, and we’ve been continuing to argue that inside the European Union.’

Mr Trump has not answered directly whether he would remove the measures. A senior adviser to the U.S. President said that US sanctions against Moscow, and other issues, would be on the table.

Barack Obama’s administration and the EU hit Moscow with sanctions for sending in troops and supporting pro-Russian rebels in Ukraine. Earlier this month Mr Trump suggested his administration could lift them in return for a nuclear arms deal – irrespective of whether Mr Putin withdrew troops from the Ukraine.

The comments have sparked fears that an emboldened Russia could launch a full-scale invasion in the Ukraine or Baltic States.

Responding to the possibility of sanctions being lifted, the former head of NATO, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, said: ‘I would urge strong caution against reversing any sanctions on Russia without concrete concessions.

‘Easing sanctions will only embolden Russia’s aggression in the region, putting the security interests of Ukraine and the United States in jeopardy.’


The U.S. softens its stance on torture

Donald Trump has dropped his controversial threat to revive the use of torture. This follows a warning from Theresa May who said it would force Britain to curb intelligence sharing.

In what will be seen as a dramatic about-turn, the US President has indicated that he would not now order secret service interrogators to use torture despite maintaining “it works”. Mr Trump said he would defer to his security advisers who are overwhelmingly opposed to the use of torture.

Mr Trump sparked an angry backlash when he first spoke out in favour of waterboarding, saying the West had to “fight fire with fire” in the war on terrorism.

His comments sparked alarm in the British intelligence community, with sources warning rules banning intelligence sharing with states that use torture would prohibit vital co-operation with the US. The U.S. President said he was bowing to the advice given to him by his Defence Secretary, General James Mattis, who has seen active service in the Middle East and who is opposed to torture.

Protagonists argue that extreme interrogation methods should be used if it saves lives.

Standard
Donald Trump, Government, Islamic State, Politics, Society, Terrorism, United States

President Trump launches a new war on terror

UNITED STATES

djtjpg

President Donald Trump has vowed to wipe Islamic State from the ‘face of the Earth’ – and to link arms with old allies like Britain.

Intro: Defeating ISIS and other radical Islamic terror groups will be America’s highest priority.

The newly elected President of the United States, Donald Trump, has launched a new war on terror and has vowed to eliminate Islamic State ‘from the face of the earth’.

But his bold declaration to “eradicate completely” radical Islamic terrorism was at odds with his inauguration speech ‘America First’ inward-looking agenda.

And it is not clear how Mr Trump and his advisors plan to succeed without jeopardising international relations and running up huge costs on military operations.

While he has previously promised a more effective military campaign than that of Barack Obama, many of the actions he might take to accelerate progress in Iraq and Syria come with potentially dangerous side effects.

These include the deterioration of already strained ties with NATO ally Turkey, an increase in America or civilian casualties and reinvigorated militant recruitment.

It is extraordinary, given the tentacles of the terror group’s extended reach across Syria, Iraq, Turkey, Tunisia and Libya – as well as parts of France, Belgium, Italy – and Britain.

Sceptics were also quick to point out that several past presidents, most notably George W. Bush, had failed to keep similar promises to beat terrorism. Yet in his speech, Mr Trump threw down the gauntlet to Islamic State and its supporters around the world.

He said: ‘We will reinforce old alliances and form new ones – and unite the civilised world against Radical Islamic Terrorism, which we will eradicate completely from the face of the Earth.

‘We will be protected by the great men and women of our military and law enforcement, and, most importantly, we are protected by God.’

He has said that on taking office, he will tell his top generals they have (just) 30 days to present him with a plan for defeating IS.

Since Mr Trump’s inauguration on Friday 20 January, his administration has expanded on the plans to defeat terrorism.

A statement on the White House website said: ‘Defeating ISIS and other radical Islamic terror groups will be our highest priority. To defeat and destroy these groups, we will pursue aggressive joint and coalition military operations when necessary. In addition, the Trump Administration will work with international partners to cut off funding for terrorist groups, to expand intelligence sharing, and to engage in cyberwarfare to disrupt and disable propaganda and recruiting.

‘Next, we will rebuild the American military. Our Navy has shrunk from more than 500 ships in 1991 to 275 in 2016. Our Air Force is roughly one third smaller than in 1991.

‘President Trump is committed to reversing this trend, because he knows that our military dominance must be unquestioned. Finally, in pursuing a foreign policy based on American interests, we will embrace diplomacy. The world must know that we do not go abroad in search of enemies, that we are always happy when old enemies become friends, and when old friends become allies. The world will be more peaceful and more prosperous with a stronger and more respected America.’

He also pledged to ‘reinforce old alliances’ in a sign that Britain’s “special relationship” with the US could be boosted under his leadership. In response, Theresa May said she was certain Mr Trump intends to advance links between Britain and the US. Mrs May said: ‘I congratulate President Trump on taking office.’

‘From our conversations to date, I know we are both committed to advancing the special relationship between our two countries and working together for the prosperity and security of people on both sides of the Atlantic.’


Looking at the pledges made by President Trump during his inaugural speech on Capitol Hill on Friday, January 20, 2017:

IN-BRIEF

. Build The Wall – Mr Trump said: ‘We will bring back our borders.’ But his campaign pledge to build ‘an impenetrable, physical, tall, powerful, beautiful, southern border wall’ between the U.S. and Mexico was not mentioned.

. Guns – Keen to placate gun rights supporters, Mr Trump has promised to abolish gun-free zones around schools and military bases. ‘My first day, it gets signed – no more gun-free zones,’ he has said. He says gun-free zones are a magnet for mentally-ill gunmen.

. Bring Back Jobs – Mr Trump has pledged to rebuild America ‘with American hands’ and ‘follow two simple rules – buy American and hire American’. His promise to help jobless American workers in the country’s depressed heartland was, for many voters, his most important pledge. Critics say it will also be the trickiest as many of those manufacturing jobs appear to have moved to lower-wage countries for good. The President has vowed personally to call the bosses of major US firms who plan to move jobs overseas and warn them they face a 35 per cent tariff if they go ahead.

. Drain The Swamp – His 100-day action plan included six measures to tackle what he sees as sleaze and corruption. They include a constitutional amendment to impose terms limits on all Congress members, a hiring freeze on all federal government employees, restrictions on the creation of new regulations and a limit on the lobbying activities of White House and congressional officials after they leave office.

. Protect US Trade – He has promised to immediately renegotiate or withdraw from the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the deal that governs commerce with, among others, Mexico. He has also vowed to dash plans to take the US into the Trans-Pacific Partnership.

. Control Immigration – Decisions on immigration ‘will be made to benefit American workers and American families’, Mr Trump said, although he also added: ‘When you open your heart to patriotism, there is no room for prejudice.’ In recent weeks, he has backed away from his call for a temporary ban on Muslim visitors entering the country. Instead, he has said he plans from his first day in office to suspend immigration from ‘terror prone’ countries and impose ‘extreme vetting’ on others.

. Repeal Obamacare – Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act, reforming America’s famously complicated and expensive health insurance system, was his administration’s most radical achievement. It guarantees health coverage for all Americans but has landed many people with higher bills. Mr Trump intends to scrap it.

. Infrastructure – One of the few areas where Mr Trump is likely to get Democratic support is his pledge to spend $1trillion over the next decade on investing in America’s crumbling infrastructure. In his speech, he pledged to ‘build new roads, highways, bridges, airports, tunnels and railways’. Such huge spending will surely complicate his plans to slash taxes, especially for business, without plunging the US further into the red.

. Global Warming – Mr Trump has previously questioned the existence of global warming, describing it as a hoax dreamt up by China. Confirming the fears of many environmentalists, the White House website has already signalled President Trump’s intentions on climate change, saying he is ‘committed to eliminating harmful and unnecessary policies such as the Climate Action Plan and the Waters of the US rule’. Mr Trump has promised to tell the United Nations that the US will no longer be contributing money towards its climate change programmes.

. A New Missile Defence System – One of Mr Trump’s first moves was to announce plans for a missile defence system to protect the US against attacks from Iran and North Korea. The announcement on the White House website contained no further detail about the measures being planned. It remains unclear whether it could be a ground- or air-based system – or, more controversially, satellite-based like Ronald Reagan’s Strategic Defence Initiative, better known as ‘Star Wars’. First announced in 1983, Star Wars was intended to protect the US against Soviet aggression during the Cold War.

Standard
China, Donald Trump, Europe, Military, Poland, Russia, United Nations, United States

The United States and other global risks

UNITED STATES

us-troops-in-poland

Poland and the Baltic states feel threatened by Russia’s recent deployment of nuclear-capable Iskander missiles in Kaliningrad, the Russian territory wedged between Poland and Lithuania. The U.S. has responded by sending troops and reinforcements to Poland.

Intro: We need to turn away from Donald Trump’s Twitter feed and concentrate on some of the more worrying developments that the United States are involved in.

Much of the attention in the United States over the past week has been on Donald Trump and what the Russians may or may not have got on embarrassing material about his business and private life. The revelations have been fascinating, the risk of Mr Trump being held for blackmail on any hidden agenda with Russia lurid, but, nevertheless, it is no wonder such news has dominated the headlines.

Beneath all of this, however, there has been much more serious global developments with US involvement, eclipsed by the shenanigans and salacious disclosures of the incoming president’s behaviour. But it is best that they do not go unnoticed.

The first was the biggest deployment of U.S. troops in Europe since the end of the cold war. Some one thousand troops (of a promised four thousand) were deployed to Poland, part of President Barack Obama’s response to the nervousness of central European states in the face of Russian aggression. Agitated concerns have been expressed in many European states ever since Russia’s belligerence and actions in Ukraine and the Crimea. Notably, this is the first-time U.S. troops have been permanently stationed along Russia’s western border.

More than 80 main battle tanks and hundreds of armoured vehicles have already arrived in Germany and are being moved into eastern Europe by road and rail.

The Kremlin has been angered by the deployment, branding the arrival of tanks and reinforcements as a threat to Russia’s security.

Last October Russia sent nuclear-adaptable Iskander missiles to the Polish border and in December deployed Bastion anti-ship missile launchers to the Baltic. America has now responded to that threat given its commitment to peace in Europe. An old-fashioned arms build-up is now taking shape.

This is not the only part of the world where Russia and the U.S. are squaring up to each other. In another scenario, Russia has a powerful partner – China. The Asian economic powerhouse has also said U.S. actions in the region, namely in the South China Sea, are a threat to its national security.

In recent days China has sent its only aircraft carrier into the Taiwan Strait, largely seen as a provocative move amid ongoing tensions between Beijing and Taiwan. China claims that Taiwan is its rightful province.

China is also deeply resentful about a joint plan between the U.S. and South Korea to deploy an advanced missile defence system, ostensibly a defence system against any missiles fired from North Korea. China is North Korea’s only ally.

It is understood that representatives from Beijing and Moscow met last week and that they had agreed to take ‘further counter-measures’ in response to the U.S.-South Korea plan. It is not known what those counter-measures will be but it is likely that will be from a range of economic, military and diplomatic relations they have at their disposal.

Mr Trump is already heightening tensions in the region, first with his earlier decision to break diplomatic protocol and call Taiwanese president Tsai Ing-Wen, and then his secretary of state nominee Rex Tillerson saying the U.S. should deny Beijing access to new islands it has built in the heavily disputed waters of the South China Sea. Many in China, reinforced by editorials in Chinese newspapers, believe such U.S. action could result in war.

Rather than being obsessed and preoccupied with Mr Trump’s Twitter feed we should be concentrating instead on the bigger, more pressing, issues.

Standard